Steele Creek, Alaska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

508
FXAK69 PAFG 142148
AFDAFG

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1248 PM AKST Wed Jan 14 2026

.SYNOPSIS...
A stretch of active weather is upon us as we head into the latter
portion of the week. A series of lows and fronts moving from the
Northern Pacific northward to Alaska will bring rounds of wind,
heavy snow and even mixed precipitation for some. The heaviest snow
is expected to be in the Western and Northern Interior from
Thursday evening through Saturday morning. The strongest winds
will be along the Bering Strait Coast and in the Alaska Range
Passes from Thursday through Saturday. Finally, mixed
precipitation is possible from SW Alaska to Fairbanks with the
greatest likelihood being in the Upper Kuskokwim/Middle Yukon
Valley on Friday. Any icing would likely be light.

For more in depth details, visit weather.gov/afg and click on, or
type in your location!

&&

.KEY WEATHER MESSAGES...
Central and Eastern Interior...

Updated Winter Weather Hazards and Details:

- Blizzard Warnings issued for the northern Alaska Range for light
  snow and wind gusts from 65 to 80 mph. Thursday AM to Saturday
  AM.

- Blizzard or near blizzard conditions are possible in Delta
  Junction as well, winds may gust upwards of 60 mph from Thursday
  morning through Saturday morning.

- Winds may gust up to 35 mph in Fairbanks which could result in
  blowing snow and significantly reduced visibility on Friday.

- Winter Storm Warnings issued for the southern Alaska Range for
  heavy snow and blowing snow concerns. Thursday AM to Saturday
  AM.

- Winter Storm Watches remain in effect for blowing snow and
  heavy snow from the Central Interior to the Northern Interior
  from Thursday afternoon through Saturday evening. (A variety of
  warnings and advisories will most likely be issued this
  afternoon and evening)

- A significant warm up is expected for the entire Interior.
  Temperatures will be near or above zero with the warmest
  temperatures (approaching 40 degrees above zero) expected near
  the northern Alaska Range.

- For more in depth details, visit weather.gov/afg and click on
  your location, or type in your location in the top left search
  bar!

West Coast and Western Interior...

Updated Winter Weather Hazards and Details:

- Blizzard Warnings issued for the Bering Strait Coast and St.
  Lawrence Island from Thursday afternoon through Saturday
  afternoon.

- Winter Storm Warnings issued from Farewell to Holy Cross,
  northward to Galena. Thursday afternoon through Friday
  afternoon.
- Heavy snow, gusty wind and light icing is all possible.
- Winter Weather Advisory issued for blowing/drifting snow in
   Kivalina. Thursday afternoon through Saturday afternoon.

- Winter Storm Watches remain from Huslia to the southern slopes
  of the Western Brooks Range. These will likely be updated to
  Winter Storm Warnings this evening.

- A significant warm up is expected for the entire area.
  Temperatures will be well above zero with the warmest
  temperatures (approaching 40 degrees above zero) expected from
  McGrath westward on Friday.

- For more in depth details, visit weather.gov/afg and click on
  your location, or type in your location in the top left search
  bar!

North Slope and Brooks Range..
- Cold Weather Advisories remain in effect for the Beaufort Sea
  Coast and Central Brooks Range through at least midnight
  Thursday night for wind chills to 70 below zero.

- A Blizzard Warning has been issued for Anaktuvuk and Atigun
  Passes from Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon for 3 to
  6 inches of snow and wind gusts to 35 mph.

- A Winter Storm Watch has been issued for Point Hope from
  Thursday night through Friday evening for the potential for
  blizzard conditions.

- A significant warm up is expected Friday through the weekend
  with high temperatures near 10 above zero in the Brooks Range
  and approaching zero along the Coast.

- For more in depth details, visit weather.gov/afg and click on
  your location, or type in your location in the top left search
  bar!

&&

.FORECAST ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION...
500mb vorticity is showing a digging trough from the Beaufort Sea
southwest to the Southern Bering Sea. This is allowing southerly
flow to push into most of Northern Alaska. Light snow will
continue at times in the Interior today as a weak front moves
overhead. Heavier snow moves into SW Alaska tomorrow
afternoon/evening as a strong 500mb front moves from south to
north. The front continues to progress northward through the
Interior on Friday with periods of heavy snow likely in the
southern Alaska Range, Western Interior and Northern Interior. On
top of this, there will be very strong southerly flow aloft, so
wind gusts and blowing snow are a major concern everywhere in
Northern Alaska. Additionally, mixed precipitation is likely from
Galena southward with up to 0.10" of ice accretion likely,
especially from McGrath westward to Holy Cross. Temperatures will
spike on Friday with high temperatures ranging from the single
digits above zero along the West Coast, to near 40 above zero in
the Alaska Range.

One of the big culprits for all of these significant hazards is a
phasing upper level low and abnormally strong shortwave. This
feature is tapping moisture from 20N latitude (around Hawaii),
therefore it is very warm and very moist air. The technical term
for this atmospheric setup is an atmospheric river. This will
produce tremendous amounts of precipitation to much of Northern
Alaska from Thursday through Saturday morning.

The ECMWF/NAM are currently battling the GFS/CMC. The front on
the ECMWF/NAM is much stronger aloft and cuts northeast through a
very strong ridge over SW Alaska. The CMC and GFS are both in
line with each other. These two models feature a weaker front
which rides up and around the ridge on Friday. If the GFS and CMC
were correct, this wouldn`t change too much of the forecast
besides weaker winds in the Interior. The ECMWF and NAM are
hinting at wind gusts around 30 to 40mph or greater from the AK
Range northward while the GFS/CMC have wind gusts around 10 to 15
mph. Precipitation totals look to remain very heavy, especially in
the Western Interior and southern AK Range.

Otherwise, after this system passes, persistent warmer weather
looks more likely than not through the middle of next week.

&&

.EXTENDED FORECAST DAYS 4-7...
During the beginning of the extended (Sunday), a ridge of high
pressure sets up over the panhandle of Alaska, bringing warmer
air into Northern Alaska into next week. The center of the ridge
shifts towards the mainland, bringing drier conditions for the
middle of the week. As the ridge continues to move westward, the
center may set up over the West Coast towards the end of the
week, keeping the area dry, but potentially bringing colder air
to the area.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AK...Winter Storm Watch for AKZ801.
     Cold Weather Advisory for AKZ811-812-824-828>832-852.
     Winter Storm Watch for AKZ811>813-819-828-831>833-846.
     Blizzard Warning for AKZ847-849.
     Winter Storm Warning for AKZ848-850.
     Winter Storm Warning for AKZ829-830-851-852.
     Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ815.
     Blizzard Warning for AKZ820-821-827.
     Cold Weather Advisory for AKZ804-805-809.
     Winter Storm Watch for AKZ834.
     Blizzard Warning for AKZ809.
PK...Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ801-802-804-805-852.
     Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ803-810.
     Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ806-807-816-817-850-851-853-854-856.
     Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ814-815-860.
     Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ861.
&&

$$

Bianco
Lewis - Extended